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27 August, 2010

Morgan Stanley Says Government Defaults Inevitable

Morgan Stanley Says Government Defaults Inevitable - Bloomberg: "Investors face defaults on government bonds given the burden of aging populations and the difficulty of increasing tax revenue, according to a Morgan Stanley executive director.

'Governments will impose a loss on some of their stakeholders,' Arnaud Mares in the firm’s London office wrote in a research report today. 'The question is not whether they will renege on their promises, but rather upon which of their promises they will renege, and what form this default will take.' The sovereign-debt crisis is global 'and it is not over,' he wrote.

Rather than miss principal and interest payments, governments may choose a 'soft' default in which they pay back debts with devalued currencies resulting from faster inflation or force creditors to take lower returns, Mares said in an interview..."


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